Politics is tough on families and it can be especially brutal for MP’s who represent Western Australia.
For Tim Hammond, the MP of the city based electorate of Perth, it seems to have taken its toll. Elected in 2016, Tim has a young family of three kids – at a minimum, he spends 20 weeks of the year away from the family home, and many other commitments result in him travelling to the more populous eastern seaboard.
He announced today that he will shortly resign, in order to spend more time with his family. This means Labor will face a byelection for the reasonably safe seat of Perth – a poll Bill Shorten will hardly wish to face at the moment.
Mr Hammond will return to the WA legal bar, continuing his previous career practising law.
Best of luck!
One of the jobs of the Electoral Commission is to ensure that each seat in the House of Representatives has an even amount of voters.
To ensure this, the AEC adjusts the boundaries of electorates and can abolish seats in some states because of population growth in others. Its a process know as redistribution.
The South Australian seat of Port Adelaide is to be abolished, with a new seat in Victoria created. Its MP Mark Butler is considering his options. Several electorates have been renamed, and an additional seat has been created for the ACT, taking the number in the House to 151.
The most interesting observation from the proposed changes is adjustments to the margins of several seats in Victoria. Seats considered safe and winnable for the Liberal Party are now marginal or even notional Labor.
The changes are open to public consultation and will be in effect from July 20.
#Auspol #elections #AEC
Federal Politics is bracing for Cyclone Newspoll, expected to make landfall early Monday morning. As you know we seldom focus on opinion polling – it rarely drives good public policy and is often used to fuel an unhelpful theatrical element of politics.
We’re making an exception today to note that 30 negative Newspoll results were used as a yardstick for mounting a challenge to the leadership of Tony Abbott in 2015 – in amongst a number of other issues that the then Communications Minister used to argue for a change in leadership.
So will the PM be booted on Monday?
Absolutely not. This will be an opportunity for a bit of anti-Turnbull ‘sniping’, and then we’ll all move on. For now.
‘We’re getting the band back together!’ said Malcolm Turnbull, upon hearing the massive victory Barnaby Joyce received in the New England by-election.
And massive it was – a 7.3% swing towards him, and primary vote of 64%.
Historically, by-elections in government held seats since WWII have resulted in the Government feeling swings away from them. This is clearly in the opposite direction and is so for three reasons:
He is a popular member, with a prominent position inside the government
He did not have an opposition candidate that was well known.
It’s recognised that he’s in a difficult situation!
Barnaby will take his seat in the House of Representatives once the vote is formally declared. Next stop – Bennelong on December 16
Australians have voted ‘YES’ to changing the law to allow same sex couples to marry.
With response rate of just under 80% ,the survey has more authority than the Brexit vote (72%), the Irish same sex referendum (60%) and the poll that elected Donald Trump (56%).
So where to from here? From today, it’s now a battle for the marriage bills.
The Turnbull government will allow Senator Dean Smith to put up a private members bill for debate. It is expected that it will almost certainly pass. Using a private members bill will by-pass debate in the government party room.
Senator James Patterson has put up his own bill that includes additional protections for business owners to refuse services for same sex marriage celebrations. It is expected that this bill will not pass, but elements of this bill will try to be amended into the Smith bill.
Senator Dean Smith will kick off the debate in the Senate tomorrow.
There’s good news and bad news for Malcolm Turnbull.
The good news is that he has found a way to fix the citizenship crisis.
The bad news is that he may loose his government altogether.
The House of Representatives and the Senate will seek to pass resolutions that will demand MP’s declare if they are dual citizens.
MP’s and senators will be given 21 days to declare if they are dual citizens in a new register similar to the ones they use to disclose financial interests. The register will ask for their place of birth, and that of their parents.
If they declare they are dual citizens they must provide documentation. The only issue now is one of timing:
- Parliament has one sitting week left, meaning that MP’s could declare if they are dual citizens during the summer break
- Parliament then doesn’t sit until February, where they would be referred to the High Court
- The High Court would hand down a verdict in March/April, with by-elections in May.
The crisis would end by June, almost a year since the first MP reveal he had an issue.