Battle for Warringah Begins

Tony Abbott faces the first credible challenge to his hold on the seat of Warringah, following the announcement that former Olympian, Sports Administrator and local lawyer Zali Steggall will stand as an independent.

Challengers to prominent MP’s like this usually generate a bit of hype but don’t have much of an effect in swinging the seat:Antony Albanese in Grayndler and Kelly o’dwyer in Higgins faced similar challenges from Greens in 2016.

Steggall would need to achieve a swing of more than 10%, which is huge given Abbott’s electorate is not a wildly swinging seat. Her major task will be to reduce his personal (or primary) vote by about 6%. If this takes place, the seat will be decided on preferences – and that is where it gets dangerous for the former PM.